Watches, warnings, and advisories in effect for New Bern and other parts of Craven County

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
715 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression One, located over the western Atlantic Ocean off the 
east-central coast of Florida.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on 
June 1, 2020.  Until then, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will 
be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Storm Watch

One Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL012020
504 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

NCZ194-170515-
/O.NEW.KMHX.TR.A.1001.200516T2104Z-000000T0000Z/
Southern Craven-
504 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible
somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - New Bern
    - Havelock
    - Fairfield Harbor

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
          becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: early Monday morning until Monday evening

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
          especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
          become unsafe.
        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
          your area.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become
          overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous
          in places where surge water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,
          mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: around 1 inch

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
      potential for flooding rain
        - PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
          against flooding rain at this time.
        - ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$


 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
525 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

NCZ045>047-080-081-094-194-172130-
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Pamlico-
Southern Craven-
525 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.

Tropical Depression One will pass off the Southeast coast Sunday and
Monday. Gusty winds and minor storm surge inundation will be possible
late Sunday night and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


 

Hurricane Local Statement

Tropical Depression One Local Statement Advisory Number 1
NCZ045>047-080-081-094-194>196-199-203>205-170515-

Tropical Depression One Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL012020
514 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Beaufort, Coastal
      Onslow, East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Pamlico, Southern
      Craven, Tyrrell, Washington, and West Carteret

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Beaufort, Coastal
      Onslow, East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Pamlico, Southern
      Craven, Tyrrell, Washington, and West Carteret

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 510 miles south-southwest of Buxton NC or about 450 miles
      south-southwest of Morehead City NC
    - 28.4N 78.6W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Depression One, currently located off the east-central
Florida coast, is forecast to strengthen and lift northward near the
North Carolina coast Sunday night and Monday. There is still some
uncertainty regarding the exact forecast track and a slight shift
could change specific impacts. The center of the storm could remain
off the North Carolina coast or it could make landfall.

Tropical storm force winds will be possible along the coast. These
winds could lead to some downed trees and widely scattered power
outages.

Minor storm surge impacts will be possible for areas adjacent to the
ocean, sounds, and rivers, however impacts at specific locations will
be highly track dependent.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected, with seas building to
8 to 10 feet. Rough surf conditions will develop along the coast
Sunday into Monday with a dangerous rip currents threat continuing
into the middle of next week.

Periods of locally heavy rain will be possible along the coast, with
the potential for localized minor flooding of low lying areas, however
widespread flooding is not expected. Isolated tornadoes cannot be
rules out late Sunday night and Monday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
coastal areas. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
areas adjacent to the ocean, sounds and rivers. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Rough surf and dangerous rip currents will impact the beaches.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Eastern
North Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Eastern
North Carolina.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$

 

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